تحلیل زمانی و مکانی بارش تگرگ در ایران دکتر منوچهر فرج¬زاده ، طاهر مصطفی پور

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

10.22111/gdij.2012.321

چکیده

    این مقاله به بررسی توزیع زمانی و مکانی پدیده­ی بارش تگرگ در ایران پرداخته شده است. بدین منظور از آمار مشاهده­ای در  67 ایستگاه سینوپتیک کشوردر یک دوره­ی آماری 20 ساله (2005-1986) استفاده شده است. نتایج این تحقیق نشان می­دهد که کانون­های اصلی رخداد این پدیده در ایران بیشتر در نواحی غرب و شمال غرب می­باشد. همچنین ایستگاههای با فراوانی بالای بارش تگرگ ایستگاههای ایلام، آبعلی و مراغه در غرب و شمال غرب کشور (به ترتیب دارای میانگین سالانه 7/4، 3/4 و 2/3 مورد) و همچنین ایستگاههای تربت­حیدریه و بیرجند در شمال شرق و شرق کشور (دارای میانگین سالانه به ترتیب 5/1 و 3/1 مورد) می­باشند. کانون واقع شدن این ایستگاهها نسبت به این پدیده، احتمالاً با وجود رشته­کوههای مرتفع زاگرس و البرز در غرب و شمال کشور و نحوه­ی عملکرد توده هواها هنگام برخورد با این ارتفاعات، در ارتباط است. از نظر توزیع زمانی نیز، فصل بهار دارای بیشترین فراوانی رخداد این پدیده می­باشد. فراوانی بارش تگرگ در این فصل  1/19 می­باشد و بیشترین فراوانی رخداد تگرگ در کشور در ماههای مارس و آوریل می­باشد.   

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Hail in Iran Dr. Manuchehr Farajzadeh Associated Professor of Remote Sensing University of Tarbiat Modares Taher Mostafapoor M. Sc of Climatology University of Tarbiat Modares

چکیده [English]

Introduction
Hail is one of the most important climatic hazards in the world and Iran. Hail is a phenomena related to thunderstorm which occurrs in unstable atmosphere with high level of moisture. Hail damages human and agricultural products. The damage of hail is serious in comparing with tornadoes and storms. Most of these damages occurrs in agriculture sector and on the crops, so that sometimes all the annual crops are destroyed in a few minutes. Iran has a mountainous condition in Alborz and Zageos area that in association with climatic system creates a suitable area for hail occurrence. In order to prevent the damages of hail, it is necessary to study the frequency and other climatic features. In this study, the temporal and spatial distributions of hail have been investigated in Iran.
 
Data and Method
The present study has concentrated on the observation data from 67 synoptic stations of a 20-years period (1986-2005), and the spatial distribution has been demonstrated on the country map. In this research, the analyses have been performed by statistical method. At first, the data collected through statistical tests, were examined and then the related data base has been created.the next process was the  extract of frequencies for each station, which is performed by SPSS software. After that the calculated frequencies has been entered in to GIS software (ArcGIS) frequency mapshas been prepared and analyzed.
 
Discussion and Results
The prepared geographical distribution maps indicate the frequency concentration in Iran. Maximum amount of frequency is 4.7 which has been recorded on northern, western and eastern stations of Ilam and other stations are Abali with the average of 4.3 and Maragheh station with an annual mean of 3.2. Regarding the hail seasonal distribution, the highest amount is recorded in spring in which the highest frequency of 1.7 has been recorded for Abali weather station.  After spring, the second one is winter which is recorded for Ilam of about 2.5. Autumn and summer have the low frequency so that in most stations, the hail precipitation in summer is zero and in autumn it reaches to 0.1. The monthly distribution of hail precipitation belongs to March, April and May months.
The highest frequencies of hail occurred in March with 22 cases and April and December with 21 cases which recorded for Ilam and Abali weather stations. Regarding the hourly distribution of hail, the highest amount of hail is recorded between 6 am to 15 pm on Greenwich Time (9:30 am to 18:30 pm for local time). The analysis indicated that distribution of hail occurrence in Iran as a common phenomenon has not been the same for all the regions but it mainly occurres in special regions. It is entirely due to the climatic changes and topography conditions, because the condition for unstable atmospheric systems is suitable for the occurrence of hail. The temporal conditions for occurrence of this phenomenon are on late March and early April. In that time of year, the whole country is influenced by Mediterranean systems moving from west. During this time the temperature difference in plains and mountain regions covered with snow and the topographical condition of main regions which hail is occurred, an increase in temperature can be obsereved.  Moreover, the hail occurrence especially at early hours in the afternoon, in which the temperatures difference between the mountain and plain regions is significant is probably one of the reasons of hail occurrence in this time of a day.
 
Conclusion
The analysis shows that hail is concentrated on east ranges of Zagros extending toward north west of Iran on a direct line to the boarders of Ilam province and also concentrated on the southern parts of central Alborz range, from this point to the southern parts of the country, the hail frequency is decreased   and in some stations located in the southern parts of Iran, the hail is almost zero. There are two weather stations in the eastern parts of the country namely Birjand and Torbatheydarye where a higher level of hail is recorded in comparing to the other parts of the country probably due to high altitudes such as Qayenat Mountain ranges and Birjand.
 
Keywords: Hail - Hailstorm- Thunderstorm- Temporal and spatial distribution- Iran.
 
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Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Hail in Iran





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کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Hail - Hailstorm- Thunderstorm- Temporal and spatial distribution- Iran